Bloomberg

Lead Story

Global markets are bracing for renewed supply chain volatility after US-Iran nuclear talks stalled in Switzerland amid escalating clashes between Israel and Hezbollah in southern Lebanon. Despite President Donald Trump’s recent Memorandum of Understanding aimed at easing Middle East tensions, the diplomatic breakdown prompted Tehran to declare the critical Strait of Hormuz closed to shipping traffic once again. The sudden reversal severely tests the peace framework just as US Vice President JD Vance and key international mediators arrive to salvage the negotiations.

Markets & Economics

• Fed’s Favorite Gauge Is Seen Showing Faster Inflation: The upcoming update to the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation metric is anticipated to show accelerating price pressures, solidifying the consensus among policymakers for further interest-rate hikes this year under new Chairman Kevin Warsh.
• Europe’s Stocks Are Back in the Lead as Stagflation Risks Ease: European equities are positioning for a standout second half of the year as investors pivot toward the region, betting that receding stagflation risks and the prospect of broader economic growth will outpace global peers.
• Fed Governor Bowman Spoke at Private Dinner After Policy Meeting: Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman is facing scrutiny after reportedly addressing a private New York dinner during the central bank’s restricted blackout window, when officials are strictly barred from commenting on monetary policy.
• South Africa’s Kganyago Warns Inflation Expectations Are Rising: South Africa’s central bank governor emphasized the immediate need to act against building underlying price pressures, citing early signs of entrenched second-round inflation effects in the domestic economy.

Business & Industries

• SpaceX IPO Sparks Anticipation for OpenAI and Anthropic: Following SpaceX’s blockbuster public debut—which saw shares surge 37% in their first week of trading—massive capital inflows are setting a bullish tone and heightening investor appetite for the upcoming IPOs of AI heavyweights OpenAI and Anthropic.
• Porsche Eyes Deal to Cut More Costs as Automaker Reins In Output: Luxury German automaker Porsche AG is finalizing negotiations on a fresh round of cost-cutting measures as it braces for an extended period of reduced vehicle production.
• BYD Rejects Claims It Violated Hungary’s Environmental Rules: Chinese electric vehicle giant BYD Co. vehemently denied allegations that it breached local environmental regulations during the ongoing construction of its inaugural European Union manufacturing plant in Hungary.
• Ubisoft Co-Founder Claude Guillemot Dies in Air Crash at Age 69: The global gaming industry is mourning the loss of Claude Guillemot, who co-founded the French video-game publishing powerhouse Ubisoft Entertainment SA with his brothers in 1986.

Policy & World

• Burnham May Yet Rewrite UK Fiscal Playbook If He Becomes Premier: Following a historic local election victory that positions him to directly challenge Prime Minister Keir Starmer, Andy Burnham is assembling a policy team expected to radically reshape the United Kingdom’s economic rulebook.
• Meloni’s Spat With Trump Shows Readiness to Risk a Bigger Fight: In an unprecedented and escalating blowout between the two allied nations, Italian Premier Giorgia Meloni traded public barbs with Donald Trump, signaling a rare willingness among G7 leaders to risk a broader diplomatic fallout with the US President.
• Spanish Court Orders PM’s Wife to Face Trial, Surrender Passport: Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez is contending with a major political crisis after a Madrid judge ordered his wife, Begoña Gómez, to stand trial on charges of corruption, influence peddling, and the embezzlement of public funds.
• Bolivia’s Paz Declares State of Emergency Over Blockades: Bolivia’s president officially declared a state of emergency to combat 50 consecutive days of paralyzing road blockades and civil unrest that have heavily disrupted the nation’s fragile economy.

Opinion & Analysis

• India Shows That Forcing Teens Off Their Phones Isn’t Always Good: As the British government pushes a broadly popular ban on social media for teenagers, analysis of India’s past digital restrictions argues that forcefully unplugging youths carries complicated and often counterproductive consequences.
• How Substack Creators Are Covering This Strange Markets Era: In a live Odd Lots panel, prominent independent analysts dive into how financial writers are navigating a highly pressurized media and market landscape deeply infected by the artificial intelligence boom.