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A surprise contraction in US payrolls has abruptly cooled the labor market outlook, as the economy lost 23,000 jobs in July while a drop in labor force participation artificially pushed the unemployment rate down to 4.1%. This unexpected decline, combined with upcoming consumer price index (CPI) data expected to show a welcome cooling of war-driven price pressures, is expected to reduce pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates at its September meeting.

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