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CNBC — 2026-08-05 Lead Story The prospective breakthrough in the five-month U.S.-Iran war, catalyzed by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s announcement that a deal to reopen …

Lead Story

The prospective breakthrough in the five-month U.S.-Iran war, catalyzed by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s announcement that a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz could be reached this week, triggered an epic relief rally across global equity markets. While a subsequent Houthi rebel strike on a Saudi tanker in the Red Sea cooled some ceasefire optimism on Wednesday, the market is aggressively pricing in this potential energy “detox”.

Markets & Economics

The major indexes scaled to fresh record highs on Tuesday, led by a massive 900-point gain for the Dow and the S&P 500 crossing the (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/05/5-things-to-know-before-the-stock-market-opens.html) mark for the first time, though markets cooled Wednesday as tech profit-taking dragged the Nasdaq Composite down 0.83%. The options market experienced unprecedented activity as S&P 500 index calls hit record volumes at the Cboe, which paradoxically pushed the VIX up alongside rising stocks in a rare pattern of extreme bullishness. This equity volatility comes amid a cooling labor market, with ADP reporting that private payrolls added just (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/05/private-companies-added-just-44000-workers-in-july-below-expectations-adp-reports.html) workers in July—well below the 75,000 consensus estimate. The hiring slowdown is colliding with increasingly hawkish rhetoric from Federal Reserve officials, as Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari and Governor Lisa Cook both signaled readiness to raise interest rates to prevent above-target inflation from becoming entrenched.

Business & Earnings

Pharmaceutical giant Eli Lilly posted a historic Q2 blowout, recording adjusted EPS of $8.38 on $22.97 billion in revenue and hiking its full-year revenue guidance to between $85 billion and $87 billion on insatiable demand for its obesity drug Zepbound and diabetes drug Mounjaro. Conversely, SpaceX shares plunged over 10% on Wednesday as its debut public earnings report revealed a sixfold surge in capital expenditures to $18.4 billion, reflecting massive investments into its AI data center buildout that overshadowed a top- and bottom-line beat. Uber Technologies fell 3% after its third-quarter bookings guidance of $59.25 billion at the midpoint disappointed Wall Street, despite CEO Dara Khosrowshahi highlighting a $10 billion commitment to scale up autonomous vehicle partnerships. Meanwhile, Disney surged 3% after beating bottom-line expectations with adjusted EPS of $2.06, buoyed by a record-breaking $9.97 billion quarter for its global theme parks and cruises segment.

Investing & Commentary

Jim Cramer pushed back against Wall Street’s “winner-take-all” mentality, arguing that the colossal AI buildout is large enough to support multiple hardware winners including Nvidia, AMD, and Intel. Investors seeking next-generation themes are focusing on optical networking, with the launch of the Roundhill Photonics and Optics ETF (LYTE) aiming to capitalize on a massive projected shift toward light-pulse data transmission in data centers. However, BTIG chief market technician Jonathan Krinsky urged caution, charting how the S&P 500’s rapid 5% surge to record highs mirrors a violent momentum burst seen the day before the dot-com bubble burst in March 2000.

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