Week 15 Summary

Bloomberg — Week of 2026-04-04 to 2026-04-10#

Story of the Week#

A volatile US-Iran military conflict sent global markets on a wild ride this week, culminating in a fragile, Pakistan-brokered two-week ceasefire ahead of critical talks in Islamabad. The escalating crisis effectively choked off the Strait of Hormuz, igniting a devastating energy shock that sent gasoline prices skyrocketing and forced an abrupt reassessment of central bank rate-cut timelines globally. Although a mid-week truce triggered a massive relief rally that dragged oil below $100 a barrel, enduring maritime gridlock and escalating secondary conflicts ensure the geopolitical risk premium remains heavily priced into global assets.

Week 17 Summary

Bloomberg — Week of 2026-04-11 to 2026-04-17#

Story of the Week#

The week was defined by historic volatility stemming from the US-Iran conflict, beginning with failed peace talks that prompted President Donald Trump to order a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, briefly sending oil surging past $100 a barrel. However, diplomatic breakthroughs by week’s end completely reversed the panic trade, as Iran agreed to reopen the vital maritime chokepoint and reportedly suspended its nuclear program, triggering a massive global equity rally and a plunge in crude prices.

2026-04-09

Sources

Bloomberg — 2026-04-09#

Lead Story#

A fragile two-week ceasefire between the US and Iran is facing severe tests as the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked and Israeli forces escalate strikes in Lebanon. Oil prices rebounded amid the maritime gridlock, defying hopes of swift relief, as Vice President JD Vance prepares to lead a US delegation to Islamabad for high-stakes direct talks with Tehran. President Donald Trump expressed optimism about the negotiations but vowed to keep US troops in the Persian Gulf and warned Iran against demanding tolls or cryptocurrency payments for ships transiting the vital waterway.

2026-04-16

Sources

Bloomberg — 2026-04-16#

Lead Story#

Tensions in the Middle East are showing signs of easing as President Donald Trump announced a 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, while the US and Iran weigh a two-week extension to their own fragile truce. The diplomatic progress, combined with an upbeat revenue outlook from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC), propelled the S&P 500 to a fresh record high past the 7,000 mark as traders raced back into technology shares and revived short-volatility bets. Oil futures stabilized on the peace hopes, though the US maintains its strict naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.