Week 15 Summary

Bloomberg — Week of 2026-04-04 to 2026-04-10#

Story of the Week#

A volatile US-Iran military conflict sent global markets on a wild ride this week, culminating in a fragile, Pakistan-brokered two-week ceasefire ahead of critical talks in Islamabad. The escalating crisis effectively choked off the Strait of Hormuz, igniting a devastating energy shock that sent gasoline prices skyrocketing and forced an abrupt reassessment of central bank rate-cut timelines globally. Although a mid-week truce triggered a massive relief rally that dragged oil below $100 a barrel, enduring maritime gridlock and escalating secondary conflicts ensure the geopolitical risk premium remains heavily priced into global assets.

Week 20 Summary

Bloomberg — Week of 2026-05-08 to 2026-05-15#

Story of the Week#

The geopolitical impasse between the US and Iran escalated significantly after President Trump rejected Tehran’s peace proposals as “totally unacceptable,” ensuring the continued blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. The resulting energy supply shock has driven global oil inventories down at a record pace and severely amplified inflation fears, pushing US consumer price growth to 3.8% and sending global bond yields to their highest levels since 2007. This dual shock of spiking energy costs and plummeting crude output sets up an immediate, critical test for newly confirmed Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh, as traders rapidly unwind expectations for near-term rate cuts.

2026-04-06

Sources

Bloomberg — 2026-04-06#

Lead Story#

President Donald Trump has escalated his showdown with Tehran, threatening to obliterate key Iranian civilian infrastructure by a Tuesday deadline unless the Strait of Hormuz is reopened,. Iran has flatly rejected a proposed ceasefire, demanding a permanent end to the war, which sent crude oil surging and whipsawed US equities as the window for diplomacy violently narrows,, .

2026-04-07

Sources

Bloomberg — 2026-04-07#

Lead Story#

Global markets whipsawed Tuesday as US President Donald Trump initially threatened the civilizational destruction of Iran and ordered strikes on Kharg Island before abruptly agreeing to a two-week ceasefire. The last-minute truce, requested by Pakistan, is strictly conditional on Tehran reopening the Strait of Hormuz, prompting crude oil and US equity futures to reverse course as markets priced in a momentary reprieve from the relentless, war-driven energy shock.

2026-05-11

Sources

Bloomberg — 2026-05-11#

Lead Story#

US President Donald Trump announced that the fragile ceasefire between the US and Iran is on “massive life support” after he rejected Tehran’s latest peace proposal as “totally unacceptable”. The resulting deadlock ensures the continued effective closure of the vital Strait of Hormuz, a blockade that Saudi Aramco’s CEO warned is costing global markets 100 million barrels of oil each week. The supply disruption has sent crude prices surging anew and elevated imported inflation risks across major global economies.